Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
