Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.