Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0) 
