Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.31) 
