SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Annecy |
50.8% ( 0.2) | 24.85% ( -0.26) | 24.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% ( 1.09) | 50.64% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( 0.96) | 72.55% ( -0.96) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.51) | 19.93% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.91% ( 0.83) | 52.08% ( -0.83) |
| Annecy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( 0.65) | 35.51% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.72% ( 0.67) | 72.27% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Annecy |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.34% |
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