Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
0.2) 
-0.26) 
