Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Valenciennes	Draw	Metz
30.99% ( 0.02)	28.48% ( 0)	40.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.58% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

-0)

60.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

-0)

80.69% (

-0)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

0.01)

35.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

0.01)

72.28% (

-0.01)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.01)

29.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

-0.02)

65.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Valenciennes 30.98%

Metz 40.53%

Draw 28.46%

Valenciennes	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.98%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.46%	0-1 @ 12.77% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 40.53%