Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.11) 
