Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.
Result | ||
Annecy | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
41.51% ( 0.09) | 25.99% ( 0.02) | 32.5% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% ( -0.12) | 50.73% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% ( -0.1) | 72.63% ( 0.11) |
Annecy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% ( -0) | 24.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.48% ( -0) | 58.52% ( 0.01) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( -0.13) | 29.37% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( -0.16) | 65.35% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Annecy | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.5% |
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