Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.