Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.