Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.08) 
