Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
1.64) 
-0.55) 
