Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.