Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Metz
44.76% ( 2.44)	27.33% ( -0.07)	27.91% ( -2.37)

Both teams to score 47.32% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.3% (

-0.72)

57.7% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.54% (

-0.57)

78.46% (

0.57)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

0.93)

25.67% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42% (

1.25)

60.58% (

-1.25)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.66% (

-2.22)

36.34% (

2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88% (

-2.32)

73.12% (

2.32)

Score Analysis

Caen 44.76%

Metz 27.91%

Draw 27.33%

Caen	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.91%