SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 38 | -12 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Angers |
41.07% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( 0) | 33.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( -0.03) | 50.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( -0.02) | 72.17% ( 0.02) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( -0.01) | 24.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.48% ( -0.01) | 58.51% ( -0) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.03) | 28.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.38% ( -0.04) | 64.61% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Angers |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.03% |
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