Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
