Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rodez AF would win this match.
