Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
