Lyon made the mistake of underestimating a Metz side fighting for their lives earlier this month, but De Preville's absence is a bitter blow, and the visitors have not been able to stop the rut away from home. The pressure is firmly off a healthy PSG squad at their headquarters, and Pochettino's side will expect to round off a tumultuous season with a straightforward victory to leave Metz praying for results elsewhere to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.28%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Metz
84.28% ( 0.94)	10.75% ( -0.44)	4.97% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 43.53% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.27% (

-0.25)

30.73% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.94% (

-0.29)

52.06% (

0.29)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.82% (

0.12)

5.18% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.48% (

0.36)

20.52% (

-0.36)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.91% (

-1.96)

54.09% (

1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.67% (

-1.24)

87.33% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 84.27%

Metz 4.97%

Draw 10.75%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Metz
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 84.27%	1-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.75%	0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.97%