Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Dijon win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
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