SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Caen | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dijon | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guingamp | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Caen | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dijon | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Caen had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dijon | Draw | Caen |
43.82% ( 0.14) | 27.49% ( 0.04) | 28.69% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.05% ( -0.22) | 57.94% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.35% ( -0.17) | 78.64% ( 0.17) |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( -0.03) | 26.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.62% ( -0.04) | 61.37% ( 0.04) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.26) | 35.85% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0.27) | 72.62% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dijon | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 28.69% |
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