Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Caen had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.18) 
