Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.