Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.