Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
