Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
3.95) 
-4.97) 
