Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
-0.2) 
0.26) 
