Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Niort had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
2.02) 
-0.22) 
