Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.36) 
