Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
