Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
1.49) 
-0.23) 
