Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.17) 
