Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nimes in this match.
0.14) 
-0.04) 
