Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Laval had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Laval win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nimes in this match.
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