Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Laval had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Laval win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
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