Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
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