Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bordeaux in this match.