Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match.