Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.05) 
