Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
