SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Metz |
38.46% ( -1.15) | 27.93% ( 0.02) | 33.62% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.12) | 58.14% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( 0.1) | 78.8% ( -0.1) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.61) | 29.31% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.72% ( -0.75) | 65.28% ( 0.75) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( 0.84) | 32.36% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.13% ( 0.94) | 68.87% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.62% |
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