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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
vs.
Pau

 
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Metz and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Metz
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pau 1-0 Ajaccio
Friday, December 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw has a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pau has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Pau win it is 0-1 (7.74%).

Result
MetzDrawPau
49.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1) 25.36% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 25.3% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.023 0.02)73.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (0.051999999999992 0.05)21.05% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (0.085000000000001 0.09)53.85% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)35.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)72.11% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Metz 49.32%
    Pau 25.3%
    Draw 25.35%
MetzDrawPau
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Metz
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Annecy 0-0 Metz
Saturday, December 14 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 2-0 Dunkerque
Monday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Raon l'Etape 0-1 Metz
Friday, November 29 at 6.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Metz
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: FCSR Obernai 0-3 Metz
Saturday, November 16 at 12.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pau 1-0 Ajaccio
Friday, December 13 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-0 Pau
Friday, December 6 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: US Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu 1-1 Pau (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pau 4-1 Red Star
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Aviron Bayonnais 1-3 Pau
Saturday, November 16 at 12.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pau 0-0 Paris FC
Saturday, November 9 at 1pm in Ligue 2


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