Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.73) 
0.27) 
