Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
-0.32) 
0.17) 
