Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.13) 
