Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.05) 
