Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.22) 
