Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Caen had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (12.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
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