Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
-0.07) 
0.07) 
