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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Auguste Bonal

Sochaux
1 - 0
Bastia

Sissoko (38' pen.)
Faussurier (42'), Kanoute (70'), Alvero (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guidi (20'), Ducrocq (25'), Sainati (37'), Van Den Kerkhof (45')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Sochaux and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Annecy 2-1 Sochaux
Saturday, November 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, November 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochaux in this match.

Result
SochauxDrawBastia
46.95% (0.166 0.17) 27.53% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.52% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.09% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.29% (0.123 0.12)59.71% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.094999999999999 0.09)80.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Sochaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.139 0.14)25.49% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.188 0.19)60.34% (-0.187 -0.19)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)39.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.026 -0.03)76.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sochaux 46.95%
    Bastia 25.52%
    Draw 27.52%
SochauxDrawBastia
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Annecy 2-1 Sochaux
Saturday, November 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Sochaux 2-2 Quevilly
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 0-0 Sochaux
Saturday, October 15 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 St Etienne
Monday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-1 Sochaux
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Sochaux 3-1 Nimes
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, November 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Guingamp 1-1 Bastia
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Bordeaux
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Le Havre 3-0 Bastia
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Annecy 0-2 Bastia
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Metz
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Ligue 2


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