Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
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