Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
-1.49) 
0.23) 
